UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Utah St 1
  
Utah St               
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 67.4015

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H UTEP CUSA ( 2- 6, 60.8) 28-16 906 A Texas A&M SEC ( 8- 0, 89.9) 22-44 913 H Air Force MIDW ( 2- 6, 63.6) 49-30 920 H McNeese 48- 7 927 A Vanderbilt SEC ( 7- 2, 84.9) 35-55 1011 A Hawaii MIDW ( 6- 3, 69.4) 26-44 1017 H San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 5, 69.2) 30-25 1025 A New Mexico MIDW ( 6- 3, 74.5) 14-33 1108 H Nevada MIDW ( 2- 6, 65.2) 1115 A UNLV MIDW ( 4- 3, 66.5) 1122 A Fresno St MIDW ( 6- 3, 68.0) 1128 H Boise State MIDW ( 6- 3, 75.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 H UTEP                   28-16      12    11           1.48
   906 A Texas A&M              22-44     -22   -26           0.00
   913 H Air Force              49-30      19     8    +++   11.29
   927 A Vanderbilt             35-55     -20   -21           0.00
  1011 A Hawaii                 26-44     -18    -6    ---  -12.05
  1017 H San Jose St            30-25       5     2    +      2.86
  1025 A New Mexico             14-33     -19   -11    ---   -7.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1011 A Hawaii                 26-44     -18    -6    ---  -12.05
  1025 A New Mexico             14-33     -19   -11    ---   -7.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   913 H Air Force              49-30      19     8    +++   11.29
  1017 H San Jose St            30-25       5     2    +      2.86

Utah St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Utah St   Utah St
California Utah St   Utah St
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army Army tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Army
Charlotte Utah St   Utah St
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Utah St   Utah St
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
No Texas No Texas   No Texas
Rice Utah St   Utah St
So Florida So Florida   So Florida
Temple Utah St   Utah St
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa Utah St   Utah St
UAB Utah St   Utah St
UTSA UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UTSA
Arizona Arizona insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston   Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Utah St   Utah St
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF Utah St   Utah St
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St   Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue Purdue   Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin   Wisconsin
Florida Intl Utah St   Utah St
Jacksonv. St Utah St   Utah St
Kennesaw St Kennesaw St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kennesaw St
Liberty Utah St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Utah St
La Tech La Tech tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) La Tech
Middle Tenn Utah St   Utah St
NM St Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
SHouston St Utah St insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Utah St
UTEP Utah St Utah St  
We Kentucky Utah St   Utah St
UMass Utah St   Utah St
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Notre Dame
UConn UConn   UConn
Akron Utah St   Utah St
Ball St Utah St   Utah St
Bowl. Green Utah St   Utah St
Buffalo Utah St   Utah St
Cen Michigan Cen Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cen Michigan
Ea Michigan Utah St   Utah St
Kent State Utah St   Utah St
MiamiOH Utah St   Utah St
No Illinois Utah St   Utah St
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Toledo   Toledo
We Michigan Utah St   Utah St
Air Force Utah St Utah St  
Boise State Boise State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Boise State
Colorado St Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
Fresno St Fresno St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fresno St
Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii  
Nevada Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico  
San Diego St San Diego St   San Diego St
San Jose St Utah St Utah St  
UNLV Utah St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Utah St
Wyoming Wyoming insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Wyoming
Oregon St Utah St   Utah St
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Auburn Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) LSU
Missouri Missouri tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Missouri
Miss St Miss St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M Texas A&M  
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt  
App St Utah St   Utah St
Arkansas State Utah St   Utah St
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Utah St   Utah St
Georgia St Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Utah St   Utah St
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Miss   So Miss
So Alabama Utah St   Utah St
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy   Troy
La-Monroe Utah St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Utah St

PowerWise = 42


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H UTEP            ( 2- 6, 60.8)    28-16      -39.09      14.90      -3.93         1.21            26.53
   0 A Texas A&M       ( 8- 0, 89.9)    22-44       -9.96      44.03       3.93         1.21            -3.64
   0 H Air Force       ( 2- 6, 63.6)    49-30      -36.28      17.71      -3.93         1.21            33.33
   0 A Vanderbilt      ( 7- 2, 84.9)    35-55      -15.03      38.96       3.93         1.21            -6.71
   0 A Hawaii          ( 6- 3, 69.4)    26-44      -30.48      23.51       3.93         1.21           -16.05
   0 H San Jose St     ( 3- 5, 69.2)    30-25      -30.70      23.28      -3.93         1.21            46.80
   0 A New Mexico      ( 6- 3, 74.5)    14-33      -25.41      28.58       3.93         1.21           -12.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        67.27

winning pts = 106.6578 losing points = -39.3894

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------